Education
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
PhD Candidate in Management Science, 2026 (expected)
Swarthmore College
BA with High Honors in Economics and Political Science (minor), 2019
Work Experience
Department of Economics, Harvard University
Instructor, Fall 2023
Designed and taught an undergraduate course titled "From Data to Decisions" which blended causal inference, Bayesian theory, and adaptive and computational rationality to explore how we use data to navigate the complex world around us
Sloan School of Management, Massachusetts Institue of Technology
Research Assistant, September 2022 - May 2023
Conducted research with Professor Rahul Bhui
Used experiments and Bayesian computational modeling to explore how people understand the scientific consensus surrounding climate change
Federal Reserve Bank of New York
Senior Research Analyst, Money and Payment Studies, 2019-Present
Cleaned and analyzed large data in Stata and R to produce research papers and policy briefings related to consumer finance, banking, and money market liquidity
Produced internal policy forecasts using time-series models in Matlab and R
Managed, organized, and built components of a data warehouse using Python and SQL
Swarthmore College
Research Assistant, November 2016 - May 2019
Assisted Professor Syon Bhanot with behavioral and public policy research
Cleaned and analyzed airline ticket data for industrial organization projects with Professor Marc Remer
Conducted research in Python on topics related to computational neuroscience
Stata TA, Spring 2019
Helped quantitative social science students learn to program using Stata
Publications
Orchinik, R., Dubey, R., Gershman, S., Powell, D., Bhui, R. (2023). Learning about scientists from climate consensus messaging. Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society.
Hattersley, M., Orchinik, R., Ludvig, E., Bhui, R. (2023). Preferences for descriptiveness and co-explanation in complex explanations. Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society.
Working Papers
Levari D., Martel, C., Orchinik, R., Bhui, R., Seli, P., Pennycook, G., & Rand, D.G. (2024). Blatantly false news increases belief in more plausible falsehoods [Under Review: PNAS]
Orchinik, R., Martel, C., Rand, D.G., & Bhui, R. (2023). Uncommon Errors: Adaptive Intuitions in High-Quality Media Environments Increase Susceptibility to Misinformation. [Invited Resubmission: Management Science]
Orchinik, R., Dubey, R., Gershman, S.J., Powell, D.M., & Bhui, R. (2023). Learning from and about climate scientists
Orchinik, R. & Rand, D.G. (2023). Pro-Climate Statements from Elon Musk can Persuade Republicans on Climate Change [Under Review: Nature Sustainability]
Guay, B., Orchinik, R., Berinsky, A.J., Pennycook, G., & Rand, D.G. (2023). How To Measure Whether Misinformation Interventions Are Effective
Orchinik, R., Sanchez, S.P., & Rand, D.G. (2024). Getting Smart on Green Branding
Orchinik, R., Bhui, R., & Rand, D.G. (2023). Pre-registered Replication and Conceptual Extension of Effron and Raj (2022). [Invited resubmission (proposal): Nature Communications]
Orchinik, R. & Remer, M. (2023). What's the Difference? Measuring the Effect of Mergers in the Airline Industry. [Invited resubmission: Journal of Law and Economics]
Orchinik, R., Lee, D., & Lee, M. (2023). Market Structure and the Availability of Credit: Evidence from Auto Credit
Orchinik, R. (2019). Comparing Methods for Comparative Case Study: Difference-in-Differences and Synthetic Control. Undergraduate thesis, Swarthmore College. [Recipient of Adam's Prize for best economics paper].
Other Publications
Orchinik, R., Dubey, R., Powell, D., & Bhui, R. (2023). Influencing perceptions of climate scientist credibility. Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society (Abstract).
Orchinik, R., Dubey, R. & Bhui, R. (2023). Asymmetric effects of shifting trust in pro- and anti-consensus climate scientists. Proceedings of the Annual Meeting of the Cognitive Science Society (Abstract).
The Money Market Mutual Fund Liquidity Facility, with Macro Cipriani, Gabriele La Spada, and Aaron Plesset, May 2020
Offshore MMFs around the COVID Events: Financial Stability Considerations, with Marco Cipriani and Gabriele La Spada, March 2020
NYFRB internal memo sent to President John Williams and the policy committee
Why People Hate Taxes, and Why Some People Want Us To, with Syon Bhanot, August 2019
Deciphering Americans Views on Cryptocurrencies, with Sean Hundtofte, Michael Lee, and Antoine Martin, March 2019
Awards and Fellowships
Graduate Research Fellowship, MIT Sloan, September 2022 - May 2023
Adams Prize for best quantitative economics paper, Swarthmore College, 2019
J. Rolland Pennock Fellowship in Public Affairs, Swarthmore College, 2017
Skills
Software
R, Python, Stata, Matlab, SQL, LaTeX